With Christmas almost upon us, the music world as turned its attention to the issue of who will be Christmas number one. Here is a selection of the likely candidates, complete with their Christmas number one betting odds and a rating of their chances.
Cliff is the master of the Christmas number one, having clocked up more than his fair share over the decades. This time though, he’s the rank outsider and will have to rely on iTunes thrusting one of his old hits to the top of the charts as he doesn’t have a new single out. This seems unlikely.
Chances of Christmas number one glory 1 out of 10
Last year, Rage Against the Machine took the festive charts by storm and ended the dominance of X Factor. Similar campaigns have been set up for Metallica this year but given they can’t even decide on which song to back their chances seem slim.
Chances of Christmas number one glory 3 out of 10
Shane MacGowan never topped the festive charts with Fairy Tale of New York, but he’s having another pop at it this year. This time he’s backed by a group of priests for a version of Peace on Earth/Little Drummer Boy. However, his previous Christmas hit was popular because it wasn’t like other festive songs so it seems unlikely he will find too many fans this time around.
Chances of Christmas number one glory 5 out of 10
Who’s John Cage? A dead experimental composer. What’s he doing with a shout of being Christmas number one, then? Well, it’s not him personally, but a cover version of one of his tracks, 4′ 33”. The “song” is just over four and a half minutes of silence and has been recorded by a number of stars as a protest against the X Factor. The fact it has charitable links will only boost its chances. However, it may fail for the same reason the next artist could fail…
Chances of Christmas number one glory 8 out of 10
For those not in the know, this may be another cases of “who?”. The Trashmen were an American surf band most famous for their hit “Surfin’ Bird” (you’d probably know it if you heard it) and it’s this track that is the focus of this year’s best organised Facebook campaign. However, the worry is that with so many anti-X Factor songs out there, those committed to keeping Simon Cowell’s charge off the top of the chart could be split, meaning none of the contenders get enough sales to beat the song that’s the favourite in the Christmas number one odds.
Chances of Christmas number one glory 7 out of 10
Such is the selling power of the X Factor, the first single it spawns is automatically installed as favourite to be Christmas number one before even the winner or single is decided. After Rage Against the Machine’s success last year, it seems too many acts have jumped on the anti-X Factor bandwagon and it seems unlikely one of them will be able to gather enough sales to top the chart.
Chances of Christmas number one glory 9 out of 10
Betsplayer verdict -
Of all the outsiders, the John Cage cover seems to have the edge because of its charity links. However, it’s hard to look past the X Factor this year and it seems unlikely there will be a repeat of last Christmas’s upset.
All odds provided by Paddy Power and correct at time of publication. Click on any of the links above to sign up for the site and claim your Christmas number one free bet!